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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Sitemtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4ARCEH2
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/03.01.12.36   (restricted access)
Last Update2024:03.01.12.36.54 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/03.01.12.36.54
Metadata Last Update2024:03.24.08.21.41 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0
ISSN0028-0836
Citation KeyFloresMSNSBLLEJNOBNBHSALBMGMH:2024:CrTrAm
TitleCritical transitions in the Amazon forest system
Year2024
MonthFeb.
Access Date2024, May 23
Type of Workjournal article
Secondary TypePRE PI
Number of Files1
Size16376 KiB
2. Context
Author 1 Flores, Bernardo M.
 2 Montoya, Encarni
 3 Sakschewski, Boris
 4 Nascimento, Nathália
 5 Staal, Arie
 6 Betts, Richard A.
 7 Levis, Carolina
 8 Lapola, David M.
 9 Esquível-Muelbert, Adriane
10 Jakovac, Catarina
11 Nobre, Carlos Afonso
12 Oliveira, Rafael S.
13 Borma, Laura de Simone
14 Nian, Da
15 Boers, Niklas
16 Hecht, Susanna B.
17 ter Steege, Hans
18 Arieira, Julia
19 Lucas, Isabella L.
20 Berenguer, Erika
21 Marengo, José Antonio
22 Gatti, Luciana Vanni
23 Mattos, Caio R. C.
24 Hirota, Marina
Resume Identifier 1
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11 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGQ7
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13 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
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22 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Affiliation 1 Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
 2 Spanish National Research Council
 3 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
 4 Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
 5 Utrecht University
 6 Met Office Hadley Centre
 7 Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
 8 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
 9 University of Birmingham
10 Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
11 Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
12 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
13 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
14 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
15 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
16 University of California
17 Naturalis Biodiversity Center
18 Science Panel for the Amazon (SPA)
19 Sustainable Development Solutions Network
20 University of Oxford
21 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
22 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
23 Princeton University
24 Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
Author e-Mail Address 1 mflores.bernardo@gmail.com
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13 laura.borma@inpe.br
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22 luciana.gatti@inpe.br
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24 marinahirota@gmail.com
JournalNature
Volume626
Number7999
Pages555-564
Secondary MarkA1_PSICOLOGIA A1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA A1_MEDICINA_III A1_MEDICINA_II A1_MEDICINA_I A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOGRAFIA A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_FARMÁCIA A1_ENGENHARIAS_II A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_BIOTECNOLOGIA A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A1_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA A1_ARQUITETURA_E_URBANISMO A2_ECONOMIA A2_CIÊNCIA_POLÍTICA_E_RELAÇÕES_INTERNACIONAIS
History (UTC)2024-03-01 12:36:54 :: simone -> administrator ::
2024-03-01 12:36:55 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024
2024-03-01 12:40:26 :: simone -> administrator :: 2024
2024-03-24 08:21:41 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
AbstractThe possibility that the Amazon forest system could soon reach a tipping point, inducing large-scale collapse, has raised global concern13. For 65 million years, Amazonian forests remained relatively resilient to climatic variability. Now, the region is increasingly exposed to unprecedented stress from warming temperatures, extreme droughts, deforestation and fires, even in central and remote parts of the system1. Long existing feedbacks between the forest and environmental conditions are being replaced by novel feedbacks that modify ecosystem resilience, increasing the risk of critical transition. Here we analyse existing evidence for five major drivers of water stress on Amazonian forests, as well as potential critical thresholds of those drivers that, if crossed, could trigger local, regional or even biome-wide forest collapse. By combining spatial information on various disturbances, we estimate that by 2050, 10% to 47% of Amazonian forests will be exposed to compounding disturbances that may trigger unexpected ecosystem transitions and potentially exacerbate regional climate change. Using examples of disturbed forests across the Amazon, we identify the three most plausible ecosystem trajectories, involving different feedbacks and environmental conditions. We discuss how the inherent complexity of the Amazon adds uncertainty about future dynamics, but also reveals opportunities for action. Keeping the Amazon forest resilient in the Anthropocene will depend on a combination of local efforts to end deforestation and degradation and to expand restoration, with global efforts to stop greenhouse gas emissions.
AreaCST
Arrangementurlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Critical transitions in...
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4. Conditions of access and use
Languageen
Target Files41586-023-06970-0.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
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Visibilityshown
Archiving Policydenypublisher denyfinaldraft6
Read Permissiondeny from all and allow from 150.163
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Mirror Repositoryurlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40.25
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE
Citing Item Listsid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 3
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.42.59 2
DisseminationWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS.
Host Collectionurlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40
6. Notes
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